| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 61.8% | 56% | +5.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 60.0% | 39.9% |
| logistic | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Daniil Glinka | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1638 | 1533 |
| Surface Elo | 1638 | 1533 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Daniel Jade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Jade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Nicolas Mejia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Nicolas Mejia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 1 | Ugo Blanchet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.98 | 50.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |