| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.4% | 72% | -12.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.6% | 65.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 39.7% | 60.2% |
| logistic | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Luca Staeheli | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1433 | 1462 |
| Surface Elo | 1433 | 1462 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 12 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Oliver Okonkwo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Ozan Baris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Fares Zakaria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Apr | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |