| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.1% | 41% | +5.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 78% | -1.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.5% | 54% | +6.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 87.0% | 68% | +19.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.1% | 23.8% | 30.1% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | ||
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1611 | 1666 |
| Surface Elo | 1611 | 1666 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 12 Sep | A | Mainz | 3 - 1 | W |
| 06 Sep | H | Augsburg | 1 - 4 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Union Berlin | 3 - 3 | D |
| 16 May | H | Stuttgart | 2 - 2 | D |
| 08 May | A | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Paderborn | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Werder Bremen | 4 - 1 | W |
| 16 May | H | RB Leipzig | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 May | A | Hamburg | 2 - 3 | L |
| 01 Mar 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 - 0 | Freiburg |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Freiburg | 2 - 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 17 May 2025 | Freiburg | 1 - 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 - 1 | Freiburg |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Freiburg | 3 - 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 - 0 | Freiburg |
| 27 May 2023 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 - 1 | Freiburg |
| 25 Jan 2023 | Freiburg | 1 - 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 - 2 | Freiburg |
| 21 Nov 2021 | Freiburg | 0 - 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 19 Sep 14:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 19 Sep 14:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 19 Sep 14:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 19 Sep 14:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 19 Sep 14:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.91 | 25.6% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.54 | 39.4% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 19 Sep 06:16 |