| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.9% | 79% | -17.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.0% | 80.9% |
| logistic | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Edward Winter | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1473 | 1586 |
| Surface Elo | 1473 | 1586 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 21 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Timo Legout | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Edward Winter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Edward Winter | 0 - 2 | Timo Legout |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Edward Winter | 0 - 2 | Timo Legout |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.65 | 27.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |