| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.7% | 63% | -4.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.5% | 61.4% |
| logistic | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| Patrick Maloney | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1559 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1559 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Maloney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Keshav Chopra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Kenta Miyoshi | 1 - 2 | Patrick Maloney |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.59 | 62.9% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |