| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.6% | 59% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| logistic | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Ryan Peniston | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1556 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1556 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.64 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.18 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Jelle Sels | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Daniel Jade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Pedro Rodenas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Feb 2021 | Benjamin Hassan | 0 - 2 | Ryan Peniston |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |