| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.6% | 60% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 36.3% | 63.7% |
| logistic | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Lorenzo Sonego | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1743 | 1822 |
| Surface Elo | 1743 | 1822 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Hugo Gaston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |