| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.2% | 65% | -10.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| logistic | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Pedro Boscardin Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1488 | 1519 |
| Surface Elo | 1488 | 1519 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 15 | 50 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Nicolas Mejia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | H | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 22 Sep 06:15 |