| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.0% | 81% | -15.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 26.8% | 73.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.3% | 70.7% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Daniel Altmaier | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1802 | 1972 |
| Surface Elo | 1802 | 1972 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Titouan Droguet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Titouan Droguet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Daniel Altmaier | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 26 May 2025 | Daniel Altmaier | 3 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.45 | 22.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |