| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.8% | 49% | -4.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.0% | 80% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.6% | 65% | -4.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 57% | +7.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.2% | 30.4% | 30.4% |
| xgboost | 45.4% | 26.0% | 28.7% |
| logistic | 45.0% | 27.9% | 27.1% |
| Northampton | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1311 | 1405 |
| Surface Elo | 1311 | 1405 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 07 Nov | A | York | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Accrington | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Accrington | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Barrow | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Huddersfield Town (R) | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Shrewsbury | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Shrewsbury | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Grimsby | 1 - 4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Gillingham | 1 - 1 | Northampton |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Northampton | 2 - 1 | Gillingham |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Gillingham | 0 - 2 | Northampton |
| 24 Apr 2021 | Gillingham | 2 - 2 | Northampton |
| 29 Dec 2020 | Northampton | 3 - 1 | Gillingham |
| 13 Feb 2018 | Northampton | 1 - 2 | Gillingham |
| 21 Oct 2017 | Gillingham | 1 - 2 | Northampton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.82 | 54.9% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.96 | 51.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |