| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.1% | 70% | -0.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.9% | 66.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.8% | 80.2% |
| logistic | 27.6% | 72.4% |
| Vilius Gaubas | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1855 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1855 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.73 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.64 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Joao Domingues | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Oleksii Krutykh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Oleksii Krutykh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | Vilius Gaubas |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | Vilius Gaubas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |