| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.9% | 41% | +4.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.1% | 78% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.7% | 56% | +3.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 60% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.4% | 27.0% | 32.6% |
| xgboost | 42.3% | 29.8% | 27.9% |
| logistic | 42.9% | 29.2% | 27.9% |
| Cambridge | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1568 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1568 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Wycombe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Wycombe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Barnsley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Barnsley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Stevenage | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Stevenage | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Huddersfield | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Huddersfield | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 1 - 6 | L |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Plymouth | 3 - 1 | Cambridge |
| 10 Dec 2022 | Cambridge | 0 - 0 | Plymouth |
| 22 Feb 2022 | Cambridge | 2 - 0 | Plymouth |
| 17 Aug 2021 | Plymouth | 1 - 1 | Cambridge |
| 22 Feb 2020 | Plymouth | 0 - 0 | Cambridge |
| 07 Dec 2019 | Cambridge | 1 - 0 | Plymouth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.68 | 59.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |