| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.5% | 61% | -2.8% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.8% | 85% | -5.3% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.6% | 79% | -5.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 65% | -7.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.2% | 23.6% | 24.1% |
| xgboost | 63.0% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| logistic | 59.7% | 22.8% | 17.5% |
| East Kilbride | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1522 | 1392 |
| Surface Elo | 1522 | 1392 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.83 | 0.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 2.14 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Queen of the South FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Queen of Sth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Stirling | 7 - 3 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Ross County | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Ross County | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 3 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Airdrieonians FC | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Clydebank FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Peterhead | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Peterhead | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Alloa | 1 - 2 | East Kilbride |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Alloa | 1 - 2 | East Kilbride |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.63 | 61.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.54 | 64.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |