OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
St Johnstone 1.60 1 - 1 2.00 Dundee United
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.1%38%+8.9%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.8%77%-2.6%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 60.6%52%+8.4%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.0%56%-0.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.4%27.6%35.0%
xgboost42.7%28.1%29.1%
logistic44.2%27.3%28.4%
Inputs the models saw
St JohnstoneDundee United
Elo (pre-match)16861639
Surface Elo16861639
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.602.00
Form trend-0.20-0.30
Season points per game1.381.38
Season goals for / game1.251.25
Season goals against / game1.251.38
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W5 W · 1 D
St Johnstone: last 5
11 OctAAberdeen1 - 0W
11 OctAAberdeen1 - 0W
19 SepHFalkirk1 - 1D
19 SepHFalkirk1 - 1D
09 SepHCeltic0 - 1L
Dundee United: last 5
10 OctHHibernian1 - 0W
10 OctHHibernian1 - 0W
26 SepAForfar1 - 2L
22 SepAEdinburgh City0 - 1L
19 SepASt Mirren3 - 0W
Head to head
12 Apr 2025Dundee United1 - 0St Johnstone
26 Dec 2024St Johnstone1 - 2Dundee United
24 Aug 2024Dundee United2 - 0St Johnstone
06 May 2023St Johnstone1 - 0Dundee United
18 Feb 2023Dundee United1 - 2St Johnstone
02 Jan 2023St Johnstone0 - 1Dundee United
01 Oct 2022Dundee United1 - 2St Johnstone
05 Feb 2022St Johnstone0 - 0Dundee United
30 Oct 2021Dundee United0 - 1St Johnstone
22 Aug 2021St Johnstone0 - 1Dundee United
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2544.4%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.8535.1%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%17 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.6138.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5528.2%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6637.6%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7856.2%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC