OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-26

NFL · Monday 26 October 2026, 00:20 UTC · finished

Seattle Seahawks – 20 - 3 – Kansas City Chiefs

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	63.0%	60%	+3.5%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	63.0%	37.0%

Inputs the models saw

	Seattle Seahawks	Kansas City Chiefs
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.06
form diff	0.00
rest diff	0.41
home field	1.00
point diff	0.13
opponent strength diff	0.18
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-25T00:20:00+00:00

Seattle Seahawks: last 5

16 Oct	A	Denver Broncos	14 - 17	L
11 Oct	H	San Francisco 49ers	29 - 32	L
04 Oct	H	Los Angeles Chargers	30 - 23	W
27 Sep	A	Washington Commanders	31 - 33	L
20 Sep	A	Arizona Cardinals	31 - 7	W

Kansas City Chiefs: last 5

18 Oct	H	Los Angeles Chargers	22 - 6	W
04 Oct	A	Las Vegas Raiders	30 - 27	W
27 Sep	A	Miami Dolphins	24 - 10	W
21 Sep	H	Indianapolis Colts	33 - 30	W
15 Sep	H	Denver Broncos	31 - 10	W

Head to head

24 Dec 2022	Kansas City Chiefs	24 - 10	Seattle Seahawks
24 Dec 2018	Seattle Seahawks	38 - 31	Kansas City Chiefs
16 Nov 2014	Kansas City Chiefs	24 - 20	Seattle Seahawks
28 Nov 2010	Seattle Seahawks	24 - 42	Kansas City Chiefs
29 Oct 2006	Kansas City Chiefs	35 - 28	Seattle Seahawks
24 Nov 2002	Seattle Seahawks	39 - 32	Kansas City Chiefs
06 Jan 2002	Seattle Seahawks	21 - 18	Kansas City Chiefs
25 Nov 2001	Kansas City Chiefs	19 - 7	Seattle Seahawks
29 Oct 2000	Seattle Seahawks	19 - 24	Kansas City Chiefs
02 Oct 2000	Kansas City Chiefs	24 - 17	Seattle Seahawks

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.66	60.2%	25 Oct 21:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.36	42.4%	25 Oct 21:20

Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC