| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.0% | 57% | +6.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.6% | 57.2% |
| logistic | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1496 | 1611 |
| Surface Elo | 1496 | 1611 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Ioannis Xilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Miles Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Benjamin Pietri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Dimitris Azoidis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | James Mackinlay | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Robin Bertrand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Menelaos Efstathiou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Reyniak, Matias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Michel Hopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Garrett Johns | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |