| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 85.5% | 92% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 8.5% | 91.4% |
| logistic | 20.8% | 79.2% |
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1398 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1398 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Menelaos Efstathiou | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Simonsson, Jan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Jakub Filip | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Julio Cesar Porras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Alexandre Aubriot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Robin Bertrand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Menelaos Efstathiou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Reyniak, Matias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Michel Hopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.09 | 91.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.70 | 14.9% | 10 Nov 06:15 |