| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.6% | 47% | +10.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| logistic | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| Niels Visker | Arthur Bouquier | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 240 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Vargiu, Davide | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Marko Topo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Feb | H | Laurent Lokoli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Feb | H | Jacob Fearnley | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Feb | H | Kimmer Coppejans | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Feb | A | Alexander Blockx | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Feb | H | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.12 | 47.2% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 21 Oct 06:15 |