OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Serie B · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Modena 1.40 3 - 0 0.80 Cesena
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 54.3%65%-10.7%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 82.1%90%-7.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 74.1%85%-10.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.8%57%-1.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.3%27.8%21.0%
xgboost56.8%25.0%18.3%
logistic57.4%26.0%16.6%
Inputs the models saw
ModenaCesena
Elo (pre-match)14651401
Surface Elo14651401
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.80
Form trend-0.200.10
Season points per game1.861.14
Season goals for / game1.711.14
Season goals against / game1.141.29
Rest days75
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W2 W · 2 D
Modena: last 5
24 OctHReggiana0 - 0D
17 OctACarrarese1 - 2L
17 OctACarrarese1 - 2L
11 OctHVerona3 - 2W
11 OctHVerona3 - 2W
Cesena: last 5
18 OctHAvellino1 - 1D
18 OctHAvellino1 - 1D
10 OctABenevento0 - 2L
10 OctABenevento0 - 2L
18 SepAJuve Stabia1 - 1D
Head to head
07 Mar 2026Modena0 - 0Cesena
28 Nov 2025Cesena1 - 0Modena
13 May 2025Modena0 - 1Cesena
13 Sep 2024Cesena2 - 2Modena
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.7517.4%24 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7526.7%24 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2home1.5664.1%24 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%24 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%24 Oct 14:00
SportyBet1X2away5.6017.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.2023.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5564.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7557.1%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:16 UTC