| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.7% | 79% | -16.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.6% | 70.3% |
| logistic | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Kirill Kivattsev | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1484 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1484 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Ivan Ivanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr | H | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Apr | A | Aleksandre Bakshi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Vladyslav Orlov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Laslo Djere | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |