| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.4% | 45% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 72.0% | 74% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.3% | 62% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 51% | -0.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 28.0% | 28.6% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | ||
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | ||
| Angers | Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1566 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1566 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 12 Sep | A | Le Havre | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Rennes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Auxerre | 3 - 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Lille | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 May | A | Brest | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Lille | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Strasbourg | 2 - 6 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Lorient | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Paris FC | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 May | A | Grenoble | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Angers | 2 - 1 | Troyes |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Troyes | 1 - 4 | Angers |
| 27 May 2023 | Angers | 2 - 1 | Troyes |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Troyes | 3 - 1 | Angers |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Angers | 2 - 1 | Troyes |
| 26 Sep 2021 | Troyes | 1 - 1 | Angers |
| 17 Jan 2018 | Angers | 3 - 1 | Troyes |
| 25 Nov 2017 | Troyes | 3 - 0 | Angers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 19 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 19 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 19 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 19 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 19 Sep 19:45 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.54 | 28.2% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.61 | 27.7% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.17 | 46.1% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |