| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.8% | 75% | -12.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 86.6% | 91% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 82.0% | 89% | -6.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 74% | -13.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 18.8% | 21.9% | 59.3% |
| xgboost | 9.6% | 13.7% | 76.7% |
| logistic | 9.7% | 20.1% | 70.2% |
| Telstar | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1490 | 1741 |
| Surface Elo | 1490 | 1741 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Den Haag | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Den Haag | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | AZ Alkmaar | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | AZ Alkmaar | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Heerenveen | 0 - 0 | D |
| 14 Oct | H | Como | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Utrecht | 5 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Utrecht | 5 - 0 | W |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Feyenoord | 2 - 1 | Telstar |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Telstar | 1 - 2 | Feyenoord |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.19 | 16.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.93 | 12.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.35 | 74.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.40 | 29.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |