| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 41.1% | 34% | +7.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.0% | 76% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 53.0% | 48% | +4.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 46% | +10.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.4% | 27.2% | 37.4% |
| xgboost | 34.0% | 32.7% | 33.3% |
| logistic | 34.2% | 28.3% | 37.4% |
| PAOK | AEK | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1728 | 1804 |
| Surface Elo | 1728 | 1804 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 4 D |
| 25 Oct | A | OFI Crete | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | OFI Crete | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Apollon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Iraklis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Panetolikos | 5 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Panaitolikos Agrinio | 5 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Manchester City | 1 - 5 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Shakhtar D | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | OFI Crete | 3 - 0 | W |
| 13 May 2026 | PAOK | 1 - 1 | AEK |
| 19 Apr 2026 | AEK | 3 - 0 | PAOK |
| 15 Feb 2026 | PAOK | 0 - 0 | AEK |
| 19 Oct 2025 | AEK | 0 - 2 | PAOK |
| 11 May 2025 | PAOK | 1 - 0 | AEK |
| 30 Mar 2025 | AEK | 2 - 3 | PAOK |
| 02 Feb 2025 | PAOK | 1 - 2 | AEK |
| 20 Oct 2024 | AEK | 1 - 1 | PAOK |
| 28 Apr 2024 | PAOK | 3 - 2 | AEK |
| 07 Apr 2024 | AEK | 2 - 2 | PAOK |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.25 | 44.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.62 | 61.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |