| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.2% | 43% | -0.2% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 73.2% | 77% | -3.7% | abandoned |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.6% | 61% | -2.0% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 49% | +4.8% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.6% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 25.1% | 24.3% | 50.6% |
| xgboost | 34.4% | 30.0% | 35.6% |
| logistic | 31.1% | 30.8% | 38.1% |
| Nacional | Academico Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1412 | 1588 |
| Surface Elo | 1412 | 1588 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.70 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.90 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Arouca | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Sp Braga | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Rio Ave | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Famalicao | 0 - 4 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Alverca | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Rio Ave | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Rio Ave | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Porto | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Sporting | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Sp Lisbon | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 07 Nov 06:01 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Nov 06:01 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 07 Nov 06:01 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 07 Nov 06:01 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 07 Nov 06:01 |