| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.0% | 90% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 92.9% | 7.1% |
| logistic | 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Taylor Fritz | Rinky Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1974 | 1715 |
| Surface Elo | 1974 | 1715 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Tommy Paul | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Yannick Hanfmann | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Terence Atmane | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Terence Atmane | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Feb 2024 | Rinky Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.50 | 13.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |