| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.7% | 57% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| logistic | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Quentin Halys | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1840 | 1816 |
| Surface Elo | 1840 | 1816 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 26 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Roman Safiullin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Sep | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 3 - 1 | W |
| 26 Aug | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Alex De Minaur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Fajing Sun | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 3 | L |
| 25 Aug | A | Hugo Grenier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Quentin Halys | 1 - 2 | Roman Safiullin |
| 21 Feb 2022 | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | Roman Safiullin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |