| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.7% | 58% | +2.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 85.8% | 83% | +2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 79.6% | 75% | +4.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 68% | -14.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 72.3% | 16.8% | 10.9% |
| xgboost | 63.7% | 23.2% | 13.1% |
| logistic | 68.9% | 22.1% | 9.1% |
| Venezia | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1572 | 1313 |
| Surface Elo | 1572 | 1313 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 882 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Lazio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Brescia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Fiorentina | 2 - 4 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Frosinone | 2 - 3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Ac Milan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Brescia | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Cittadella | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | US Pergolettese Crema | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 May | H | Modena | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 May | A | Brescia | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Lecco | 1 - 2 | Venezia |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Venezia | 2 - 2 | Lecco |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |