| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.7% | 71% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 73.8% | 26.1% |
| logistic | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Edas Butvilas | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1674 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1674 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Michael Geerts | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Michael Geerts | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | Moez Echargui |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | Moez Echargui |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 01 Oct 06:15 |