| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.9% | 80% | -12.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.9% | 62.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 15.3% | 84.7% |
| logistic | 33.1% | 66.9% |
| Ognjen Milic | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1478 | 1666 |
| Surface Elo | 1478 | 1666 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 43 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Jay Friend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | George Lazarov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Lucio Ratti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Ognjen Milic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Alibek Kachmazov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Jay Friend | 2 - 1 | Ognjen Milic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.24 | 80.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |