OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🇪🇸 La Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 20:00 UTC · finished
Barcelona 3.00 1 - 2 2.40 Real Madrid
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 57.7%61%-3.1%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 80.8%78%+2.4%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 74.2%73%+1.0%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65.0%84%-18.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 62.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson55.2%21.2%23.6%
xgboost55.4%21.9%22.6%
logistic66.2%19.5%14.4%
Inputs the models saw
BarcelonaReal Madrid
Elo (pre-match)19521854
Surface Elo19521854
Form, last 5 (PPG)3.002.40
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game3.002.33
Season goals for / game4.332.56
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W5 W · 0 D
Barcelona: last 5
17 OctABetis5 - 2W
10 OctHGetafe3 - 0W
19 SepASevilla3 - 1W
16 SepHSantander7 - 2W
13 SepALevante4 - 2W
Real Madrid: last 5
25 OctACF Algeciras0 - 2L
25 OctHUB Conquense0 - 2L
21 OctHRB Leipzig4 - 1W
18 OctHSevilla4 - 1W
18 OctHSevilla4 - 1W
Head to head
10 May 2026Barcelona2 - 0Real Madrid
26 Oct 2025Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
11 May 2025Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
26 Oct 2024Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
21 Apr 2024Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
28 Oct 2023Barcelona1 - 2Real Madrid
19 Mar 2023Barcelona2 - 1Real Madrid
16 Oct 2022Real Madrid3 - 1Barcelona
20 Mar 2022Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
24 Oct 2021Barcelona1 - 2Real Madrid
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.0025.0%25 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2draw6.0016.7%25 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2home1.5564.5%25 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.1785.5%25 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under5.0020.0%25 Oct 20:00
SportyBet1X2away4.0224.9%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.5118.1%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7058.8%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.1884.8%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under5.1019.6%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC