| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 62.3% | 54% | +7.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| logistic | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Murphy Cassone | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1599 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1599 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Patrick Zahraj | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Henri Squire | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | Arthur Rinderknech | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Clement Tabur | 1 - 2 | Murphy Cassone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.84 | 54.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |