OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-16

NFL · Friday 16 October 2026, 00:15 UTC · finished

Denver Broncos – 17 - 14 – Seattle Seahawks

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	50.1%	45%	+5.4%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	50.1%	49.9%

Inputs the models saw

	Denver Broncos	Seattle Seahawks
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.04
form diff	-0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.73
opponent strength diff	0.04
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-15T00:15:00+00:00

Denver Broncos: last 5

11 Oct	A	Los Angeles Chargers	23 - 17	W
04 Oct	A	San Francisco 49ers	14 - 24	L
28 Sep	H	Los Angeles Rams	30 - 26	W
20 Sep	H	Jacksonville Jaguars	20 - 13	W
15 Sep	A	Kansas City Chiefs	10 - 31	L

Seattle Seahawks: last 5

11 Oct	H	San Francisco 49ers	29 - 32	L
04 Oct	H	Los Angeles Chargers	30 - 23	W
27 Sep	A	Washington Commanders	31 - 33	L
20 Sep	A	Arizona Cardinals	31 - 7	W
10 Sep	H	New England Patriots	13 - 10	W

Head to head

08 Sep 2024	Seattle Seahawks	26 - 20	Denver Broncos
13 Sep 2022	Seattle Seahawks	17 - 16	Denver Broncos
09 Sep 2018	Denver Broncos	27 - 24	Seattle Seahawks
21 Sep 2014	Seattle Seahawks	26 - 20	Denver Broncos
02 Feb 2014	Denver Broncos	8 - 43	Seattle Seahawks
19 Sep 2010	Denver Broncos	31 - 14	Seattle Seahawks
04 Dec 2006	Denver Broncos	20 - 23	Seattle Seahawks
17 Nov 2002	Seattle Seahawks	9 - 31	Denver Broncos
10 Dec 2001	Denver Broncos	20 - 7	Seattle Seahawks
14 Oct 2001	Seattle Seahawks	34 - 21	Denver Broncos

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.26	44.2%	15 Oct 21:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.71	58.5%	15 Oct 21:20

Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC