| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 54% | -0.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 57.5% | 42.4% |
| logistic | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1597 | 1632 |
| Surface Elo | 1597 | 1632 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 13 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Vitaliy Sachko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | Thiago Monteiro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 20 Sep 06:16 |