| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.5% | 36% | +7.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.0% | 80% | -6.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.1% | 49% | +8.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 45% | +8.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.2% | 26.3% | 32.4% |
| xgboost | 36.5% | 38.5% | 25.0% |
| logistic | 40.0% | 23.8% | 36.2% |
| Eupen | Beerschot VA | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1348 | 1363 |
| Surface Elo | 1348 | 1363 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 896 | 533 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Yellow-Red KV Mechelen | 1 - 5 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | RSC Anderlecht Futures | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | KFC Merelbeke | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | RFC Liege | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 May | H | RWD Molenbeek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | RSC Anderlecht | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | RFC Liege | 5 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Sporting Hasselt | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 May | H | Cercle Brugge | 4 - 2 | W |
| 04 May | A | St Truiden | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Eupen | 1 - 0 | Beerschot VA |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Beerschot VA | 0 - 3 | Eupen |
| 20 Jan 2021 | Eupen | 3 - 1 | Beerschot VA |
| 06 Dec 2020 | Beerschot VA | 0 - 1 | Eupen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |