| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.4% | 59% | -9.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 80% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.0% | 76% | -12.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 62% | -4.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 26.5% | 26.3% | 47.2% |
| xgboost | 33.0% | 22.8% | 44.2% |
| logistic | 23.0% | 26.5% | 50.6% |
| Bochum | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1417 | 1613 |
| Surface Elo | 1417 | 1613 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Oct | H | Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Werder Bremen | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Werder Bremen | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Schalke 04 | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Schalke 04 | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 - 4 | L |
| 10 May 2025 | Bochum | 1 - 4 | Mainz |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Mainz | 2 - 0 | Bochum |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Mainz | 2 - 0 | Bochum |
| 27 Oct 2023 | Bochum | 2 - 2 | Mainz |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Mainz | 5 - 2 | Bochum |
| 06 Aug 2022 | Bochum | 1 - 2 | Mainz |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Mainz | 1 - 0 | Bochum |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Bochum | 2 - 0 | Mainz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.37 | 22.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.09 | 19.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |