| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 66.0% | 64% | +2.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.7% | 36.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| logistic | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Filip Cristian Jianu | Ivan Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Ivan Ivanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Johan Nikles | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Henri Squire | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Maximus Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | George Loffhagen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Filip Cristian Jianu | 0 - 2 | Ivan Ivanov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |