OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Aberdeen 1.00 0 - 1 1.00 St Johnstone
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.9%47%-1.7%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.4%77%-2.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 56.7%64%-7.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.0%54%+1.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.1%27.0%23.9%
xgboost30.3%29.6%40.1%
logistic32.7%28.4%38.9%
Inputs the models saw
AberdeenSt Johnstone
Elo (pre-match)15911671
Surface Elo15911671
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.00
Form trend-0.50-0.10
Season points per game1.141.14
Season goals for / game1.001.29
Season goals against / game1.141.43
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W1 W · 4 D
Aberdeen: last 5
26 SepACove Rangers1 - 2L
22 SepABanks O´Dee FC1 - 2L
19 SepAHibernian1 - 1D
19 SepAHibernian1 - 1D
15 SepAMotherwell4 - 0W
St Johnstone: last 5
19 SepHFalkirk1 - 1D
19 SepHFalkirk1 - 1D
09 SepHCeltic0 - 1L
06 SepHHibernian2 - 1W
02 SepADundee1 - 1D
Head to head
15 Mar 2025St Johnstone0 - 0Aberdeen
07 Dec 2024Aberdeen1 - 1St Johnstone
05 Aug 2024St Johnstone1 - 2Aberdeen
04 May 2024Aberdeen1 - 0St Johnstone
28 Feb 2024Aberdeen0 - 2St Johnstone
24 Jan 2024St Johnstone1 - 1Aberdeen
08 Oct 2023Aberdeen0 - 0St Johnstone
01 Apr 2023St Johnstone0 - 1Aberdeen
07 Jan 2023Aberdeen2 - 0St Johnstone
20 Aug 2022St Johnstone0 - 1Aberdeen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.0025.0%11 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%11 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2home1.8653.8%11 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9152.4%11 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9152.4%11 Oct 14:00
SportyBet1X2away3.4429.1%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4828.7%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1646.3%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9451.5%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8753.5%11 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC