| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.5% | 44% | +4.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 80% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.2% | 59% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 62% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.8% | 25.7% | 35.5% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 25.6% | 29.2% |
| logistic | 34.9% | 29.1% | 36.0% |
| Eldense | Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1410 | 1453 |
| Surface Elo | 1410 | 1453 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Hercules CF B | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Oviedo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Oviedo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Tenerife | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Tenerife | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Valladolid | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Valladolid | 1 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Dos Hermanas CF 1971 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Eldense | 1 - 1 | Cordoba |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Cordoba | 2 - 0 | Eldense |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |