| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 49% | +4.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.4% | 55.5% |
| logistic | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Cosme Rolland De Ravel | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1575 | 1469 |
| Surface Elo | 1575 | 1469 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Ozan Baris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Alastair Gray | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Lui Maxted | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Benjamin Willwerth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Alex Rybakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | Ozan Baris |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.83 | 54.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |