OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 11 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Bochum 1.40 0 - 1 1.00 Bielefeld
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.9%44%+3.6%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 74.6%72%+2.2%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 63.1%60%+3.0%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.0%60%-5.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.6%25.7%29.8%
xgboost39.2%33.6%27.2%
logistic44.8%28.3%26.9%
Inputs the models saw
BochumBielefeld
Elo (pre-match)14451397
Surface Elo14451397
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.00
Form trend0.500.40
Season points per game1.170.83
Season goals for / game0.831.67
Season goals against / game1.002.00
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W5 W · 2 D
Bochum: last 5
20 SepAHannover1 - 2L
20 SepAHannover1 - 2L
12 SepHGreuther Furth1 - 1D
05 SepADresden2 - 1W
28 AugHOsnabruck0 - 1L
Bielefeld: last 5
20 SepHHeidenheim2 - 2D
20 SepHHeidenheim2 - 2D
11 SepADarmstadt1 - 2L
04 SepHSt Pauli2 - 2D
29 AugANurnberg1 - 4L
Head to head
02 May 2026Bielefeld1 - 1Bochum
06 Dec 2025Bochum1 - 0Bielefeld
06 May 2022Bochum2 - 1Bielefeld
14 Dec 2021Bielefeld2 - 0Bochum
28 Jan 2020Bielefeld2 - 0Bochum
02 Aug 2019Bochum3 - 3Bielefeld
17 Mar 2019Bielefeld3 - 1Bochum
05 Oct 2018Bochum1 - 0Bielefeld
29 Jan 2018Bochum0 - 1Bielefeld
21 Aug 2017Bielefeld2 - 0Bochum
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.3030.3%11 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%11 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home2.0548.8%11 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%11 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0848.1%11 Oct 12:30
SportyBet1X2away2.9034.5%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3542.5%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6361.4%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%11 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC