| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.7% | 46% | +12.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.4% | 60.5% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Oleksii Krutykh | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Filip Pieczonka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Matias Soto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Hugo Maia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Lorenzo Carboni | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Oriol Font | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Ruffino, Elia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Javier Barranco Cosano | 1 - 2 | Oleksii Krutykh |
| 25 Sep 2023 | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | Oleksii Krutykh |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |