| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.5% | 62% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 37.5% | 62.4% |
| logistic | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1687 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1687 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Lagutin, Pavel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Pavel Lagutin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Matej Dodig | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Stefano Travaglia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Luka Mikrut | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | Tom Gentzsch |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |