OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-05
🎾 ATP Challenger Bratislava II, Slovakia Men Singles · Thursday 05 November 2026, 13:20 UTC · finished
Jurij Rodionov 0.60 2 - 0 1.80 Toby Samuel
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 63.1%60%+3.6%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov36.6%63.4%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost26.7%73.2%
logistic45.6%54.4%
Inputs the models saw
Jurij RodionovToby Samuel
Elo (pre-match)16441701
Surface Elo16441701
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.80
Form trend-0.600.00
Season points per game3.001.50
Season goals for / game1.001.00
Season goals against / game0.000.83
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Jurij Rodionov: last 5
03 NovHStefano Travaglia1 - 0W
02 NovAJerome Kym2 - 0W
02 NovADalibor Svrcina2 - 1W
02 NovHKimmer Coppejans2 - 1W
02 NovHToby Samuel2 - 0W
Toby Samuel: last 5
04 NovALukas Pokorny2 - 0W
02 NovAJurij Rodionov0 - 2L
02 NovALukas Pokorny2 - 0W
29 OctAClement Tabur0 - 1L
28 OctAInaki Montes De La Torre2 - 0W
Head to head
02 Nov 2026Jurij Rodionov2 - 0Toby Samuel
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6859.5%05 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1047.6%05 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:55 UTC