| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.3% | 56% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.5% | 49.4% |
| logistic | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Adrien Gobat | Jelle Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1544 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1544 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Axel Garcian | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Daniel Jade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Trufelli, Timeo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Calvin Mueller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Mar | H | Jelle Sels | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Emile Hudd | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Massard, L | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Alexandre Reco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Thomas Gerbaud | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Ryan Peniston | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Mar 2025 | Adrien Gobat | 0 - 2 | Jelle Sels |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.91 | 52.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 11 Oct 06:15 |