| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.6% | 64% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 36.2% | 63.7% |
| logistic | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Diego Dedura Palomero | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1608 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1608 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.83 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Oliver Tarvet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Thomas Faurel | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.56 | 64.1% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |