| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.7% | 59% | -2.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.8% | 48.1% |
| logistic | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Alexandre Reco | Jelle Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1510 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1510 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Romain Andres | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Remy Bertola | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Patrick Zahraj | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Remy Bertola | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Justin Boulais | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Thomas Gerbaud | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Ryan Peniston | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Jun | A | Francesco Forti | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 08 Oct 06:15 |