| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 35.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.3% | 34.6% |
| xgboost | 38.4% | 60.5% |
| logistic | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Washington Capitals | Pittsburgh Penguins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1522 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1522 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 2.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 2 | W |
| 14 Apr | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 - 3 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Montréal Canadiens | 6 - 5 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 7 - 0 | W |
| 29 Apr | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 3 - 2 | W |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Washington Capitals | 3 - 0 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 6 | Washington Capitals |
| 07 Nov 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 3 | Washington Capitals |
| 17 Apr 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 2 | Washington Capitals |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 8 | Washington Capitals |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Washington Capitals | 4 - 1 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Washington Capitals | 2 - 4 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||