| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.0% | 66% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 82.0% | 89% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 76.9% | 84% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.1% | 49% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 19.0% | 20.6% | 60.4% |
| xgboost | 19.6% | 17.7% | 62.7% |
| logistic | 13.4% | 23.3% | 63.2% |
| Rio Ave | Sp Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1449 | 1627 |
| Surface Elo | 1449 | 1627 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.30 | 1.10 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 3 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Academico Viseu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Academico Viseu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Famalicao | 0 - 4 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Famalicao | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Louletano DC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | AD Os Limianos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Nov | A | AGF Aarhus | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Famalicao | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Famalicao | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Atletico de Vila Mea | 2 - 2 | D |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Sp Braga | 3 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Rio Ave | 2 - 2 | Sp Braga |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Rio Ave | 2 - 1 | Sp Braga |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Sp Braga | 4 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Rio Ave | 0 - 0 | Sp Braga |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Sp Braga | 2 - 1 | Rio Ave |
| 05 Mar 2023 | Sp Braga | 2 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Rio Ave | 2 - 3 | Sp Braga |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Rio Ave | 0 - 0 | Sp Braga |
| 22 Dec 2020 | Sp Braga | 3 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.49 | 67.1% | 08 Nov 20:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 08 Nov 20:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 6.00 | 16.7% | 08 Nov 20:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 08 Nov 20:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 20:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.47 | 22.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.44 | 15.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.81 | 55.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |