| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.2% | 59% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.8% | 80% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.3% | 77% | -12.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 63% | +3.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.3% | 23.7% | 26.0% |
| xgboost | 46.1% | 21.2% | 32.7% |
| logistic | 49.3% | 26.1% | 24.6% |
| Sociedad | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1646 | 1620 |
| Surface Elo | 1646 | 1620 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Deportivo Alaves C | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Lillestroem SK | 6 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Malaga | 5 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Malaga | 5 - 2 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Crevillente Deportivo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | SC Torrevieja CF | 4 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 04 Apr 2026 | Sociedad | 2 - 0 | Levante |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Levante | 1 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 06 May 2022 | Levante | 2 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 28 Aug 2021 | Sociedad | 1 - 0 | Levante |
| 07 Mar 2021 | Sociedad | 1 - 0 | Levante |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Levante | 2 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 06 Jul 2020 | Levante | 1 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 30 Oct 2019 | Sociedad | 1 - 2 | Levante |
| 15 Mar 2019 | Sociedad | 1 - 1 | Levante |
| 09 Nov 2018 | Levante | 1 - 3 | Sociedad |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.91 | 20.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.29 | 23.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |