| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.4% | 65% | -2.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.5% | 65.4% |
| logistic | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Max Wiskandt | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1419 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1419 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Johan Nikles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Johan Nikles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 1 | Miguel Damas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |